Game Result Predictions
Thursday, February 14
Thursday, February 14
The R1 Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Dahlberg Arena | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Weber State (5-25, Road 3-12) |
56 | 60 | +11.0 | 18% | 131 | ✔ | 58 | +14.0 | 1% | ✔ | |
|
Montana (13-16, Home 9-4) |
64 | 71 | -11.0 | 82% | Actual: 120 (-11) |
72 | -14.0 | 99% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Brick Breeden Fieldhouse | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Idaho State (19-11, Road 9-6) |
62 | 62 | -3.0 | 61% | 121 | ✔ | 61 | -2.0 | 67% | ✔ | |
|
Montana State (15-15, Home 7-6) |
49 | 59 | +3.0 | 39% | Actual: 111 (-10) |
59 | +2.0 | 33% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Portland State (24-8, Road 8-5) |
74 | 73 | -10.0 | 80% | 136 | ✔ | 72 | -9.0 | 96% | ✔ | |
|
Northern Arizona (13-18, Home 7-6) |
59 | 63 | +10.0 | 20% | Actual: 133 (-3) |
63 | +9.0 | 4% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Bank of Colorado Arena | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Eastern Washington (12-20, Road 6-7) |
76 | 59 | +13.0 | 14% | 131 | ✘ | 60 | +9.5 | 3% | ✘ | |
|
Northern Colorado (21-11, Home 10-3) |
72 | 72 | -13.0 | 86% | Actual: 148 (17) |
69 | -9.5 | 97% | |||
| Final/1OT | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| America First Events Center | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Sacramento State (9-19, Road 3-8) |
75 | 70 | +3.0 | 39% | 143 | ✘ | 70 | +1.5 | 34% | ✘ | |
|
Southern Utah (8-23, Home 6-8) |
69 | 73 | -3.0 | 61% | Actual: 144 (1) |
71 | -1.5 | 66% | |||